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How Namibia’s lithium dream turned into a struggle for its most promising project

by Editor
January 19, 2026
in Magazine
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Lepidico’s uncertain future holds back Karibib Lithium Project
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In 2018, Namibia made a splash on the global battery minerals map when Desert Lion Energy exported what was touted as the first major shipment of lithium concentrate from Africa to China — about 30,000 tonnes to Jiangxi Jinhui Lithium Co. in July of that year.

The Karibib Lithium Project is located near Karibib in central Namibia, within a well-known pegmatite belt that has historically produced lithium, tin and tantalum.

The project encompasses the former Rubicon and Helikon mine sites, where lithium-bearing petalite and spodumene were mined intermittently from the late 1980s to the early 1990s.

Modern exploration and feasibility work have since confirmed a large lithium–mica resource, alongside associated rubidium and caesium mineralisation, positioning Karibib as one of Namibia’s most advanced undeveloped lithium assets.

Ownership of the project sits with Lepidico Chemicals Namibia (Pty) Ltd, in which Lepidico (Mauritius) Ltd holds 80%, with the remaining 20% held by local Namibian interests through Huni-Urib Holdings.

The shipment signalled the dawn of a new chapter for mineral exports from the country, one that held the promise of wealth, industrialisation and integration into the global electric vehicle and energy storage supply chains.

At the time, Desert Lion’s model was simple: process stockpiled ore from historical mine sites at Rubicon and Helikon, transport it to Walvis Bay, and ship regularly under a long-term offtake agreement.

The company secured a mining licence in August 2018 and became a symbol of Namibia’s latent potential in critical minerals.

But that initial promise soon encountered headwinds. Commodity price fluctuations, operational constraints, and financial pressures slowed production, and the company’s export momentum faltered.

In 2019, Australian-listed Lepidico Limited acquired Desert Lion and its Namibian assets, seeking to advance the project with fresh capital and feasibility studies that confirmed significant lithium-mica and other critical mineral resources.

Under Lepidico’s stewardship, the Karibib Lithium Project retained its status as one of the country’s most substantial undeveloped lithium resources, buoyed by promising geology and the possibility of added rubidium and caesium value streams.

The narrative of growth and strategic positioning remained compelling — until unresolved legacy issues began to cloud the project’s economics and investor confidence.

A central complication stems from the offtake agreement and associated financial claims involving Jiangxi Jinhui, the Chinese firm that received the 2018 shipment. Disputes over delivery obligations and retained deposits under that agreement were never fully resolved, becoming a financial and legal albatross that outlasted Desert Lion’s independent operations.

These disputes culminated in a binding arbitration proceeding under the auspices of the Singapore International Arbitration Centre (SIAC).

On 24 December 2025, the tribunal — constituted under SIAC rules and applying Ontario law — issued its determination in favour of Jiangxi Jinhui, a decision widely regarded as unfavourable to Lepidico’s Namibian entity.

The ruling obliges the project’s holders to address the contractual claims and possible financial liabilities arising from the dispute.

The exact monetary figure and terms remain subject to confidentiality provisions typical of international arbitration. Still, the strategic impact is clear: the award complicates efforts to attract fresh capital or secure a clean title for future development.

International Lithium Corp entered the picture in September 2025, when it agreed to an option arrangement to acquire Lepidico (Mauritius) Ltd, the entity holding an 80% interest in Lepidico Chemicals Namibia, which owns the Karibib Lithium, Rubidium and Caesium Project.

The deal was deliberately structured to allow International Lithium to await the outcome of the long-running arbitration with Jiangxi Jinhui before committing to a complete acquisition, reflecting the growing legal and financial uncertainty surrounding the asset.

By late 2025, efforts to sell or recapitalise Karibib — including an acquisition option held by International Lithium Corporation — were being actively reassessed in light of the arbitration outcome.

Rather than representing a straightforward investment into a world-class resource, the project now carries lingering legal and financial risk tied to decisions made years earlier.

Local 20% shareholders in the Namibian operating entity have also questioned how the proceeds from the 2018 shipment were handled, arguing that royalty, tax and dividend flows did not translate into tangible local benefit.

The December arbitration ruling has reinforced concerns that early contractual structures and offshore obligations can shape a project’s fate as decisively as its geology.

Meanwhile, the arbitration ruling has reinforced the lesson that early contractual structures and cross-jurisdiction obligations can shape a project’s destiny as much as its geology.

What was once celebrated as a milestone — Namibia’s first substantial lithium export — now serves as a cautionary tale of how legacy contracts, market volatility, and governance gaps can undermine headline success. The Karibib project still contains primary critical mineral resources. It remains relevant in the fast-growing global lithium market, but its development path underscores the complexity of realising resource wealth in emerging supply jurisdictions.

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